Will Trump Take Greenland? Breaking Down the Latest Political Prop Bets
Will Trump take Greenland? The President has targeted many countries in the opening months of his presidency, but few are as at risk as Greenland. The island’s wealth of natural resources makes it a significant asset for its allies.
This guide will break down why Trump wants to take control of Greenland. I will analyze both sides of the argument and examine the latest odds that Trump will invade Greenland at top political betting sites.
Trump vs. Greenland: What the Betting Odds Say
Why does Trump want Greenland, and how will he try to get it? The President has suggested buying the country and has also hinted that he could try to use the US military to take it by force.
According to Trump and his lackeys, the people of Greenland want to be a part of the US. Greenland’s leaders, on the other hand, have rejected Trump’s claims and are insistent on not joining the US. However, as the accusations from E. Jean Carroll and more than two dozen other women suggest, Trump is not good at taking “no” as an answer.
Will Trump Acquire Greenland in 2025?
- Yes (+800)
Will Trump invade Greenland? The President has insisted on acquiring Greenland one way or another. For this bet, the way Trump acquires Greenland is not important. To win, the US simply needs to acquire the country before the end of 2025.
The year is nearly a third of the way over, and each passing month decreases the likelihood of Greenland joining the US in 2025. BetUS currently lists Trump to acquire Greenland in 2025 at +800 odds.
Promoting conversations about Greenland has been a great diversion tactic for Trump and his cabinet through the first 100 days of his presidency. The longer they can keep the focus on Greenland, the better it is for Trump. For that reason alone, I do not think Trump will acquire Greenland before the end of 2025.
How Much Will the U.S. Offer for Greenland?
- Over $1.5 trillion (-190)
- Under $1.5 trillion (+140)
Is Trump serious about Greenland? If so, the president will need a plan to get the country to join the US. Other than invading the country, the easiest way for Trump to claim Greenland is to buy it.
BetUS offers an over/under on the total price the US will offer for the country. Currently, the total price is set at over/under $1.5 trillion.
For reference, Greenland is roughly 836,300 square miles. It is slightly larger than the land acquired in the Louisiana Purchase, which measured approximately 828,000 square miles. The US paid $15 million for the Louisiana Purchase in 1803, which, when adjusted for inflation, equates to approximately $424.5 million.
The natural resources in Greenland vastly increase the asking price for the island. Also, Denmark does not want to sell the island, which further increases the asking price. When you account for Trump being a bad businessman, the only option in this wager is the over.
- Prediction: Over $1.5 trillion -190
Will the U.S. Invade Panama First?
- Panama invaded by the US first (-1600)
- Greenland invaded by the US first (+600)
Can Trump get Greenland? Maybe, but the island nation is not the only place the President has threatened to invade. Trump has also set his sights on the Panama Canal.
So, why does Trump want Greenland and the Panama Canal? The easiest answer is money. Greenland’s resources could help boost US manufacturing.
The Panama Canal, on the other hand, could generate significant revenue for the US through taxes on ships moving through it. Both could be valuable assets, but which would Trump go after first?
According to the latest Trump prop odds at BetUS, Panama is a -1600 favorite to be invaded by the US first. Greenland, conversely, is listed at +600 to be invaded first. Neither country wants to be a part of the US, so Trump and company would face significant opposition with either Panama or Greenland.
Trump and company have focused on building new alliances in Central and South America, specifically with countries like El Salvador. I think their new connections will embolden Trump, putting a bigger target on Panama.
- Prediction: Panama -1600
Will Trump Take Control of the Panama Canal in 2025
- Yes (+300)
You can also wager on whether Trump will take control of the Panama Canal in 2025. Secure sports betting sites list the “yes” option in this wager at +300.
The Panama Canal was one of the first places Trump targeted after taking office. As desperate as he may be to get it, I doubt he can seize control of the canal before the end of the year. The US previously controlled the canal from 1907 to 1977, but relinquished control to Panama as part of the Torrijos-Carter Treaties.
Panama assumed complete control of the canal in 1999 and is unlikely to relinquish control again without a fight. With that in mind, I would not bet on the US gaining control of the canal by the end of 2025.
Greenland to Finalize Agreement to Come Under US Control?
- Yes (+800)
If Trump is to be believed, Greenland wants to be part of the US. In theory, Greenland could accelerate its joining the US by coming to an agreement to surrender to US control. For this to happen, the people of Greenland would need to want to be part of the US.
The oddsmakers at BetUS list Greenland at 8-1 odds to finalize an agreement that would put it under US control.
Greenland’s recent elections shone a spotlight on the question of its independence. Voters favored a slow move toward independence. Coming under the control of the US would put Greenland further away from independence, so I do not recommend betting on this prop.
Will Greenland Vote for Independence in 2025?
- Yes (+2500)
Part of Trump’s argument for acquiring Greenland is that the island nation is not happy being under the control of Denmark. BetUS lists Greenland at +2500 to vote for independence by the end of the year.
What does Greenland think of Trump and his proposal? The country’s recent elections can provide some insight into how Greenlanders feel about independence, Trump, and more.
In their 2025 elections, the Demokraatit party won control of the parliament. The Demokraatit party proposed a gradual move toward independence, defeating the Naleraq party, which pushed for a more immediate independence.
With the Demokraatit party’s win, I would advise avoiding this prop wager for now.
Why Is Greenland Important to Trump?
Trump does not want to take over Greenland just for fun. So, what does Greenland have that Trump wants?
According to the President, Greenland is important for US security. In World War II, the US used Greenland to help oppose Nazi Germany. Theoretically, Greenland could serve a similar purpose in future conflicts.
However, the real reason for Trump’s interest in the island appears to be its wealth of natural resources. Thanks to climate change, which is melting the ice caps, Greenland’s natural resources are becoming easier to access.
This is also not the first time that a US president has tried to purchase Greenland. Similar attempts were made in 1867, 1946, and during Trump’s first term. Despite repeated attempts from the US, Greenland has shown little to no interest in joining the US.
Where to Bet on Trump Greenland Props
Trump’s unique presidential style is good news for bettors. He is unpredictable, which constantly creates new betting markets to capitalize on. The best place to wager on all the latest Trump prop odds is BetUS.
At BetUS, you can bet on new and exciting Trump odds after every move the President makes. The latest odds are conveniently located in the Politics tab.
Also, members of BetUS have thrilling bonuses to help fund their political bankrolls. The 125% welcome bonus, for instance, offers up to $2,000 in bonus funds on each of your first three deposits.
Trump Greenland Props Summary
Will Trump take Greenland, or will he focus on invading Panama first? See the guide above for a look at the latest odds regarding President Trump’s desire to gain control of Greenland and the Panama Canal.
Then, sign up for an account at BetUS. This sportsbook has thrilling odds on the latest Trump policies. You can use the welcome bonus to get up to $2,000 in bonus funds on each of your first three deposits.
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